Villanova
W-L: (25- 8) PR = 96.3020Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Lafayette PAT L (12-18, 92.5) 70-38 1105 H Fairfield MAAC (29- 5, 95.8) 63-75 1109 A VCU A10 ( 8-24, 93.5) 74-40 1112 H Princeton IVY (26- 4, 96.7) 68-73 1116 A Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 84-73 1122 A Temple AME (15-17, 94.4) 88-58 1125 A La Salle A10 (18-15, 94.3) 66-54 1201 A West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 81-59 1204 A Georgetown BE (13-17, 94.5) 76-69 1207 A St Joseph's A10 (17-12, 94.8) 76-70 1219 A Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 72-55 1222 A St. John's BE (21-12, 95.3) 85-48 1229 A DePaul BE ( 8-24, 93.6) 81-48 101 A Creighton BE (15-15, 95.0) 74-64 104 H Marquette BE (16-13, 95.1) 69-85 108 A Xavier BE (11-19, 93.8) 67-50 111 A Providence BE (14-19, 94.2) 85-55 115 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 50-99 118 A Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 73-65 124 H St. John's BE (21-12, 95.3) 58-71 127 A Providence BE (14-19, 94.2) 83-68 131 A DePaul BE ( 8-24, 93.6) 69-56 204 A Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 67-57 207 A Georgetown BE (13-17, 94.5) 67-55 211 A Xavier BE (11-19, 93.8) 78-38 215 A Creighton BE (15-15, 95.0) 74-64 218 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 69-83 222 A Marquette BE (16-13, 95.1) 64-39 226 A Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 82-52 307 A Providence BE (14-19, 94.2) 73-65 308 A Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 62-48 309 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 51-90 320 H Texas Tech B12 (26- 8, 96.6) 52-57
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Lafayette 70-38 32 4 0.00
1105 H Fairfield 63-75 -12 1 - -2.52
1109 A VCU 74-40 34 3 0.00
1112 H Princeton 68-73 -5 0 -1.66
1116 A Jam Madison 84-73 11 1 1.35
1122 A Temple 88-58 30 2 0.10
1125 A La Salle 66-54 12 2 0.03
1201 A West Va 81-59 22 -1 + 3.01
1204 A Georgetown 76-69 7 2 0.19
1207 A St Joseph's 76-70 6 1 0.54
1219 A Seton Hall 72-55 17 1 1.15
1222 A St. John's 85-48 37 1 0.98
1229 A DePaul 81-48 33 3 0.00
101 A Creighton 74-64 10 1 0.73
104 H Marquette 69-85 -16 1 - -3.21
108 A Xavier 67-50 17 2 0.00
111 A Providence 85-55 30 2 0.00
115 H Connecticut 50-99 -49 -3 0.00
118 A Butler 73-65 8 2 0.00
124 H St. John's 58-71 -13 1 - -3.04
127 A Providence 83-68 15 2 0.00
131 A DePaul 69-56 13 3 0.00
204 A Butler 67-57 10 2 0.00
207 A Georgetown 67-55 12 2 0.19
211 A Xavier 78-38 40 2 0.00
215 A Creighton 74-64 10 1 0.73
218 H Connecticut 69-83 -14 -3 0.00
222 A Marquette 64-39 25 1 0.81
226 A Seton Hall 82-52 30 1 1.15
307 A Providence 73-65 8 2 0.00
308 A Seton Hall 62-48 14 1 1.15
309 H Connecticut 51-90 -39 -3 0.00
320 H Texas Tech 52-57 -5 0 -1.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1105 H Fairfield 63-75 -12 1 - -2.52 104 H Marquette 69-85 -16 1 - -3.21 124 H St. John's 58-71 -13 1 - -3.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1201 A West Va 81-59 22 -1 + 3.01 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Lafayette (12-18, 92.5) 70-38 -7.37 3.59 0.01 0.92 6.62
3 H Fairfield (29- 5, 95.8) 63-75 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.92 -1.89
3 A VCU ( 8-24, 93.5) 74-40 -6.40 4.56 0.01 0.92 8.40
3 H Princeton (26- 4, 96.7) 68-73 -3.24 7.72 -0.01 0.92 -1.50
3 A Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 84-73 -4.25 6.71 0.01 0.92 12.35
3 A Temple (15-17, 94.4) 88-58 -5.50 5.46 0.01 0.92 10.06
3 A La Salle (18-15, 94.3) 66-54 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.92 9.93
3 A West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 81-59 -2.60 8.36 0.01 0.92 15.40
3 A Georgetown (13-17, 94.5) 76-69 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.92 10.22
3 A St Joseph's (17-12, 94.8) 76-70 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.92 10.86
3 A Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 72-55 -4.46 6.51 0.01 0.92 11.98
3 A St. John's (21-12, 95.3) 85-48 -4.63 6.33 0.01 0.92 11.67
3 A DePaul ( 8-24, 93.6) 81-48 -6.35 4.61 0.01 0.92 8.50
3 A Creighton (15-15, 95.0) 74-64 -4.88 6.08 0.01 0.92 11.20
3 H Marquette (16-13, 95.1) 69-85 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 0.92 -2.21
3 A Xavier (11-19, 93.8) 67-50 -6.08 4.88 0.01 0.92 9.00
3 A Providence (14-19, 94.2) 85-55 -5.67 5.29 0.01 0.92 9.75
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 50-99 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.92 -0.26
3 A Butler (13-19, 94.2) 73-65 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.92 9.77
3 H St. John's (21-12, 95.3) 58-71 -4.63 6.33 -0.01 0.92 -2.13
3 A Providence (14-19, 94.2) 83-68 -5.67 5.29 0.01 0.92 9.75
3 A DePaul ( 8-24, 93.6) 69-56 -6.35 4.61 0.01 0.92 8.50
3 A Butler (13-19, 94.2) 67-57 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.92 9.77
3 A Georgetown (13-17, 94.5) 67-55 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.92 10.22
3 A Xavier (11-19, 93.8) 78-38 -6.08 4.88 0.01 0.92 9.00
3 A Creighton (15-15, 95.0) 74-64 -4.88 6.08 0.01 0.92 11.20
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 69-83 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.92 -0.26
3 A Marquette (16-13, 95.1) 64-39 -4.80 6.16 0.01 0.92 11.35
3 A Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 82-52 -4.46 6.51 0.01 0.92 11.98
3 A Providence (14-19, 94.2) 73-65 -5.67 5.29 0.01 0.92 9.75
3 A Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 62-48 -4.46 6.51 0.01 0.92 11.98
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 51-90 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.92 -0.26
3 H Texas Tech (26- 8, 96.6) 52-57 -3.31 7.65 -0.01 0.92 -1.53
------
249.18
|
winning pts = 259.2212 losing points = -10.0364
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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